appy to receive you, World Bank," sang
dozens of mostly shoeless youngsters as a group of journalists
and bank representatives approached a rural Ugandan school
earlier this month on a trip sponsored by the World Bank.
There's something jarring when local politicians, teachers and
children genuflect before minor bank officials. But it's hard
to blame them. Western donors wield oversize influence because
they provide vital money to an H.I.V.-ravaged country where
people live on a dollar a day and 40 percent of the children
are stunted from malnutrition.
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Yet there is a serious debate over the value of foreign
aid, symbolized by an odd couple of traveling companions,
Treasury Secretary Paul H. O'Neill and the rock star Bono of
U2, who arrived in sub-Saharan Africa last week on a
fact-finding visit to four nations. Bono is the pied piper,
championing aid because he's convinced it saves lives and
raises living standards. Mr. O'Neill is the skeptic,
unpersuaded that aid is effective and concerned that it
creates dependency. In fact, he has accused some international
donors of driving poor countries "into a ditch."
At stake is some $50 billion a year, primarily from 22
donor nations, which supplements loans by the World Bank to
promote development. That figure represents less than 0.2
percent of the donors' collective gross national income, down
from 0.3 percent 10 years ago. (The United States spends about
$10 billion annually, or 0.1 percent of its national income,
ranking it the lowest of the 22 nations.) Even though much of
the money has gone to corrupt, ineffective governments — down
a "rat hole," according to Senator Jesse Helms of North
Carolina — recent research shows that specific assistance can
do wonders when given to governments that demonstrate a
commitment to bolstering education and fighting poverty and
AIDS.
Nonetheless, there is plenty of data to back the skeptics.
William Easterly, a former economist at the World Bank, said
that despite $1 trillion in loans since the 1960's, the
per-capita growth rate of the typical developing country over
the past 20 years was zero. Even after an infusion of $2
billion in Zambia, for example, living standards are 40
percent lower now than when it gained independence in
1964.
At first glance, the Ugandan schoolyard ditty seems to
buttress the skeptics: the rundown school and the appalling
poverty of the students suggest that aid has been wasted and
done little more than create dependence. But on closer look,
the classrooms are packed, because a government program,
backed by Western donors, has waived fees in an effort to make
primary school universal. Teachers pointed to chairs and desks
in their classrooms, also courtesy of foreign aid.
Over the past decade, Uganda has used Western aid to double
the number of children in schools, cut the rate of H.I.V.
infection among pregnant women by 80 percent, reduce poverty
by about 35 percent and bring inflation from almost 200
percent per year to around 2 percent. These are huge gains
that experts and government officials attribute largely to
outside aid.
Advocates point to specific aid-supported projects behind
these gaudy results. Veronica Moss, the head of Mildmay, a
center built with British aid money to provide palliative care
to AIDS victims, said the program does far more than offer
humanitarian assistance: it keeps young adults healthy enough
to raise children and stay in the work force longer.
TOBY MADDISON, who exports roses and daisies grown in vast
greenhouses with the help of about 400 workers, overcame some
daunting obstacles with help from Western donors, mostly in
the form of business and agronomic advice. With their support,
Mr. Maddison and 20 or so other growers were able to build
businesses near the Entebbe Airport, giving them a crucial air
link to Europe in a landlocked country with decrepit roads and
railroads — barriers that have made other exports economically
unfeasible.
Uganda isn't the only example of success. The O'Neill-Bono
road show, which includes stops in Ghana and Ethiopia, is
passing through South Africa, where a government-donor
partnership called Nurcha has helped promote home ownership.
The donors provide loan guarantees to banks that lend
construction money to developers, who build homes that
low-income families can buy with government subsidies. The
program, which has given housing to more than 100,000 families
since 1995, would have been hard to imagine without Western
aid, said Herbert J. Sturz of the Open Society Institute, a
major partner in the project.
Other aid supporters say relatively small, tightly
controlled investments can have a major impact. The economist
Jeffrey D. Sachs, the incoming director of the Earth Institute
at Columbia University, estimated in a recent report for the
World Health Organization that by spending a mere $25 billion
to fight malaria, tuberculosis and other preventable diseases,
the West could save eight million lives a year in poor
countries. Such aid would go to practical health measures like
vaccines for measles, antibiotics for tuberculosis,
insecticide-treated nets for malaria and condoms for AIDS.
How can the two faces of aid — waste versus lifeline — be
reconciled? The World Bank's research department provides some
clues. For starters, much of what counts as aid in official
statistics isn't aid at all. Huge loans that the bank and
other donors made to African dictators were political bribes
for lining up with the West during the cold war. The amount of
money that actually trickles down to the poor has been
negligible for decades. No wonder past studies have found
little measurable impact of aid on poverty.
More important, aid handed over to inept or corrupt
governments does not work, even if the money is initially
spent on worthwhile health, education or infrastructure
projects. Tanzania was given money to build roads, for
example, but since the government failed to maintain them,
they disintegrated as quickly as donors supplied fresh money
to build new ones.
But the larger point made by the bank's researchers is that
aid can have tangible results when directed to those
governments truly committed to fighting poverty, like Uganda,
Ghana and Mauritius.
No one expects the debate to be resolved soon. When Mr.
O'Neill and Bono visited a housing project in Soweto, South
Africa, on Friday, they were greeted by schoolchildren dancing
and singing to the U2 hit "I Still Haven't Found What I'm
Looking For." That's a tune both Bono and Mr. O'Neill would
surely hum together.